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Criterion
Visual Management workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Visual Management
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
With high tempo and many parallel topics, the method makes status, deviations, and priorities visible at a glance. It reduces search effort and prevents what matters from getting lost in daily work.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
Ongoing20–45 min45-90 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-20Small cross-functional group2-81
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Visual Board, Status Indicators, Exception CuesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
SignalsOperationsVisual management
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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