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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | EstimationExpertsForecasting | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery |