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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h10-30 min je Item15-60 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
4-101-82-93-20
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationEffortRisk
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