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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-3 hlaufend45-120 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
4-102-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationForecastingFlow
WasteLeanProcess improvement
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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