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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | laufend | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 2-12 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | EstimationForecastingFlow | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery |