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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingFlowDelivery | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | EstimationForecastingFlow |