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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Family Tree Analysis |  Operations MORT Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-4 h | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 1-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingFlowDelivery | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident |