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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 60-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | ForecastingFlowDelivery |