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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Growth A/B Testing |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |