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Criterion
Paper illustration for Time Blocking
Operations
Time Blocking
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-30 min Planung, laufend5-20 min15-45 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
13-201-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Blocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus PlanEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementFocus
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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