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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Request for Comments (RFC) with its method-specific working model.
Architecture
Request for Comments
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.An RFC clarifies architecture context, options, and consequences. It structures technical context, alternatives, tradeoffs, open questions, and review feedback, and captures the result as an RFC document, reviewer comments, and a decision rationale.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-3 Wochen vom Draft bis zur Entscheidung1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-83-20 Reviewer4-12 Experten6-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesRFC document, Reviewer comments, Decision rationale, Follow-up ADR or ticketsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ArchitectureDecisionAsyncGovernance
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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