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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Operations Process Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Theory of Constraints |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-4 h Analyse, laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Process Map, Handoff List, Improvement Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Constraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow Metrics |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ProcessOperationsImprovement | ForecastingFlowDelivery | OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement |