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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A paper tomato timer connects a focus task, short breaks and a work record.
Operations
Pomodoro Technique
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For easily distracted solo work, the method sets clear time boundaries for concentrated work. It protects attention when large tasks would otherwise fall apart into small avoidance moves.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-45 min25 min Zyklen10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-81-811
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFocus Sessions, Task Progress, Interruption NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
FocusTime managementProductivityExecution
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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