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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Half day | 5-20 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 3-20 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | EstimationEffortRisk | ChangeDecisionStrategy |