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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Four paper stations connect system purpose, quality goals, risk cards and focused investigation with a target and gap profile.
Architecture
LASR (Lightweight Approach for Software Reviews)
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.LASR helps development teams identify where their software falls short of important quality goals and which improvements to consider. A small group with existing system knowledge can make an initial assessment and investigate open questions in more detail.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item3–4 h for initial assessment; preparation and deeper analysis additional15-45 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-81 or a small team; particularly suitable for 3–4 people1-82-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesLean Mission Statement describing the software’s purpose, Prioritized quality goals and evaluation criteria, Risks and estimated gaps against quality goals, More closely examined findings and open checksPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ArchitectureQualityRiskAssessmentLean
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationForecastingFlow
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