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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | KPI Tree, Owner List | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |