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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Discovery Jobs to Be Done |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Opportunity Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When switching motives and progress are unclear, it reconstructs the situation from real customer circumstances. It shows why a switch happens and what kind of progress is being sought. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When opportunities need ranking by their effect, it makes importance and satisfaction directly comparable. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as an opportunity-score table and top outcomes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 Wochen | 5-20 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 5-12 Interviews | 3-20 | 3-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Job Stories, Outcome Statements, Opportunity List | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Opportunity Score Table, Top Outcomes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | CustomerOutcomesNeeds | EstimationEffortRisk | PrioritizationDiscoveryOutcomesNeeds |