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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je ItemAs needed5-20 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-84-153-203-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsPostmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
IncidentOperationsReliability
EstimationEffortRisk
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
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