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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  UX Research HEART Framework |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Helps clarify observations, needs, and patterns in concrete terms. It groups observations into patterns, questions, and decisions. The result is captured as a HEART-GSM table and dashboard. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 120 min initial, dann laufend | laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-6 | 2-12 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | HEART-GSM Table, Dashboard | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | MetricsUX researchMeasurementSatisfaction | EstimationForecastingFlow | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |