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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-60 min15-45 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-81-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeQualityOperations
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskRoot causeSafety
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