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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-60 min2-6 h15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-101-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation ActionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeQualityOperations
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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