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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 5-20 min | 30-60 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 2-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationEffortRisk | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment |