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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Operations After-Action Review |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 5-20 min | 20-45 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 3-12 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationEffortRisk | LearningOperationsImprovement | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause |