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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Four paper stations connect system purpose, quality goals, risk cards and focused investigation with a target and gap profile.
Architecture
LASR (Lightweight Approach for Software Reviews)
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.LASR helps development teams identify where their software falls short of important quality goals and which improvements to consider. A small group with existing system knowledge can make an initial assessment and investigate open questions in more detail.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen3–4 h for initial assessment; preparation and deeper analysis additional15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
1-86-30 Experten1 or a small team; particularly suitable for 3–4 people1-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLean Mission Statement describing the software’s purpose, Prioritized quality goals and evaluation criteria, Risks and estimated gaps against quality goals, More closely examined findings and open checksPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ArchitectureQualityRiskAssessmentLean
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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