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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item2-6 h30-60 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
1-83-82-102-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
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