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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item90-180 min1-4 h or multiple rounds30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
1-83-84-12 Experten1-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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