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Selected:Three-Point EstimationBlameless PostmortemMonte Carlo ForecastingIncident Timeline Analysis
| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() DevOps Blameless Postmortem | ![]() Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting | ![]() DevOps Incident Timeline Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For an incident with an unclear sequence, the method makes the timeline precisely visible. It separates perception, reaction, and delay so cause and effect become more clearly readable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 30-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 3-10 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Postmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Incident Timeline, Evidence Log, Delay Analysis, Improvement Actions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability | ForecastingFlowDelivery | IncidentTimelineSite Reliability Engineering |



