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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item10-20 min daily2-6 h5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-813-103-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation ActionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
EstimationEffortRisk
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