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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-30 min30-120 min1-6 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-82-62-64-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
LeanObservationProcessOperations
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
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