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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |