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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ30-90 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-121-66-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
DecisionTreeOptions
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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