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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-60 min | 45-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |