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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Growth A/B Testing |  Product Discovery Outcome-Driven Innovation |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | Outcome-Driven Innovation clarifies customer problems, solution opportunities, and evidence. It separates jobs, desired outcomes, importance, satisfaction, and opportunity, and captures results as desired outcome statements, an opportunity landscape, and segments by underserved needs. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Wochen | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-6 researchers plus sample | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Desired outcome statements, Opportunity landscape, Segmentation by underserved needs, Innovation hypotheses | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | OutcomesInnovationResearchQuantitative | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |