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Criterion
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Mehrere Tage bis Wochen45-90 min1-3 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron2-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Simulation Model, Scenario ReportsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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