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Criterion
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Mehrere Tage bis Wochen45-60 min1-3 h1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron2-82-82-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Simulation Model, Scenario ReportsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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