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| Criterion |  Agile Story Points |  Agile T-Shirt Sizing |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. | When effort only needs to be classified roughly, it makes comparability more important than false precision. It helps sort work quickly into manageable sizes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend, 1-5 min je Item | 15-45 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate |
Participantsdifferent | 3-9 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-10 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data | Size Buckets, Rough Backlog Map, Split Candidates | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationAgileMeasurement | EstimationAgileRoadmap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | AgileDiscoveryDelivery |