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| Criterion |  Agile Story Points |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend, 1-5 min je Item | 15-45 min | Half day | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-9 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationAgileMeasurement | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |