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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-5 Tage | 5-20 min | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | Nutzertraffic | 3-20 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | EstimationEffortRisk | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |