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Criterion
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a decision table with criteria rows, weighted ratings, and a narrowly leading alternative.
Decision Making
Decision Matrix
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-5 Tage45-90 min45-90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
Nutzertraffic2-82-82-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteDecision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected OptionAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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