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Criterion
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down1-5 Tage45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-4 pro PitchNutzertraffic2-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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