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Criterion
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down30-90 min45-60 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-4 pro Pitch1-62-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
DecisionTreeOptions
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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