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Criterion
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down45-60 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-4 pro Pitch2-8Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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