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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 60-180 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-12 | 4-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |