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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of Shape Up with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Shape Up
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down30-90 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-4 pro Pitch1-103-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsPitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomesVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
PlanningDeliveryAutonomy
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
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