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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing Bounded Context Canvas with its core stages and visible working result.
Domain Modeling
Bounded Context Canvas
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When a business context is still loosely outlined, it shapes language, responsibility, and integration space. It clarifies what belongs together and where a boundary needs to hold.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage5-20 min1-3 h15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
4-123-203-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsContext Canvas, Glossary, Integration NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
EstimationEffortRisk
Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesModeling
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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