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Criterion
Runbook workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Runbook
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
For recurring operational tasks or incidents, the method keeps solid action logic ready. It reduces uncertainty when time pressure, role changes, or rare situations demand fast access.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
20-60 min10-30 min je Item2-6 h5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-41-83-103-20
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Runbook, Checklist, Escalation PathThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation ActionsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
OperationsReliabilityDocumentation
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
EstimationEffortRisk
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