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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Purposedifferent
When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-60 min20-45 min45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-102-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk Matrix, Top Risk ListBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
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