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| Criterion |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h | 5-20 min | 1-3 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 3-20 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionSensemaking | EstimationEffortRisk | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |