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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Outcome-Driven Innovation |  Innovation Design Sprint |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | Outcome-Driven Innovation clarifies customer problems, solution opportunities, and evidence. It separates jobs, desired outcomes, importance, satisfaction, and opportunity, and captures results as desired outcome statements, an opportunity landscape, and segments by underserved needs. | When the product question is unclear and time pressure is high, the method takes a team from an open idea to a testable solution. It connects problem understanding, decision, and learning in one compact format, lowering the risk of spending a lot of energy on a mere guess. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | Mehrere Wochen | 4-5 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 2-6 researchers plus sample | 5-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Desired outcome statements, Opportunity landscape, Segmentation by underserved needs, Innovation hypotheses | Prototype, Test Findings, Decision Rationale | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | OutcomesInnovationResearchQuantitative | Design sprintPrototypeValidationInnovation | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |