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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min2-8 h1-4 h30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-83-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation Backlog
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
Root causeQualityOperations
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